The core inflation in the United States remained stable, increasing by 0.3% for the fourth consecutive month, and the CPI in the United States continued to rise in November, which aggravated people's concerns that the process of curbing inflation was stagnant. Data released on Wednesday showed that the core CPI excluding food and energy costs rose by 0.3% for the fourth consecutive month. Compared with a year ago, it has increased by 3.3%. After the data is released, it is still very likely that Fed policymakers will cut interest rates at next week's meeting. Although the price pressure has dropped from the peak during the pandemic recovery, the recent progress has stabilized. This, coupled with the fading concerns about the labor market, helps explain why several Fed officials advocate a more gradual rate cut.German Chancellor Angela Scholz proposed a vote of confidence. On December 11th, local time, German Chancellor Angela Scholz issued a statement saying that she had formally submitted a vote of confidence to German Bundestag Speaker Babel Bass. It is expected that the Bundestag will begin to discuss and vote at 13: 00 on December 16th. If Scholz doesn't get an absolute majority of 367 votes in the vote, he will fail in the vote of confidence. In this case, Scholz will propose that the President dissolve Parliament and advance the Bundestag election scheduled for September 28th next year to February 23rd next year. Due to the lack of "trust foundation for cooperation", Scholz announced on November 6th that it would dismiss lindner, chairman of the Liberal Democratic Party, as finance minister, and then the Liberal Democratic Party announced its withdrawal from the current coalition government. This means that the ruling coalition of the Social Democratic Party led by Scholz, the Liberal Democratic Party and the Green Party has split. (CCTV News)Analyst Anna: It is expected that the CPI report in November will show the core inflation rate of 0.3% for the fourth consecutive month. This is consistent with the annual inflation increase of more than 3%, which is higher than the Fed's target of 2%. Since the middle of the year, the anti-inflation process of core CPI seems to have stagnated. There is no doubt that this will be a topic to be discussed at the FOMC meeting in December.
The UN Secretary-General visited South Africa and called on the G20 to reform global financial institutions. On December 11th, local time, UN Secretary-General Guterres visited South Africa and attended the first meeting of G20 finance ministers and central bank governors in Johannesburg after South Africa assumed the rotating presidency of G20. Guterres called on the G20 to achieve financial justice, reform global financial institutions and expand the global safety net. He also expressed support for South Africa as the rotating presidency of G20. In the afternoon, Guterres met with South African Foreign Minister Lamora in the South African Foreign Ministry Building. The two sides discussed the priorities of the G20 presidency, promoted the implementation of future agreements, and ensured the accelerated realization of sustainable development and climate commitments. (CCTV News)MetLife and General Atlantic are planning to form a reinsurance joint venture. It is reported that MetLife and General Atlantic are forming a reinsurance joint venture, which is the latest trend that insurance companies and alternative fund management companies jointly improve the return on low-risk insurance assets. Chariot Reinsurance, the joint venture, will have an initial equity of more than $1 billion, with MetLife and General Atlantic Insurance each holding about 15%. In addition, the insurance company Chubb will also become one of the major investors in the joint venture. The joint venture will be established in the first half of 2025, led by Cynthia Smith, who recently served as the head of the regional welfare business of Metropolitan Insurance Group.COSCO Shipping once again won the bid for Qatar Energy Project. On December 11th, according to the official news of COSCO Shipping, the awarding ceremony of six QC-MAX 271,000-square-meter super-large LNG carriers for Qatar Energy Project was held at the Doha headquarters of Qatar Energy Company. Shanghai COSCO Shipping LNG, a subsidiary of COSCO Shipping Energy, and Mitsui, a merchant ship, jointly won the bid. Previously, in 2022, the two parties jointly won the bid for seven 174,000-square-meter LNG carriers of the project for the first time.
In November, the CPI of the United States hit its biggest increase in seven months, but it is unlikely to prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates next week. The consumer price index of the United States recorded its biggest increase in seven months in November, but it is unlikely to prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates for the third time next week in the context of the cooling job market. Data show that CPI rose by 0.3% last month, the biggest increase since April, after the index rose by 0.2% for four consecutive months. The year-on-year growth rate of CPI rose by 2.7% after rising by 2.6% in October. Compared with the peak of 9.1% in June 2022, the year-on-year growth rate of inflation has slowed down significantly. Nevertheless, in recent months, the process of reducing the inflation rate to the Fed's 2% target has actually stalled. However, the Fed is now more concerned about the labor market. Although employment growth accelerated in November after being severely disturbed by strikes and hurricanes in October, the unemployment rate accelerated to 4.2% after staying at 4.1% for two consecutive months.Shanghai Petroleum and Natural Gas Trading Center completed the first delivery of the pre-sale and listing of diesel oil in East China, and Shanghai Petroleum and Natural Gas Trading Center completed the first delivery of diesel oil in the first half of December for the pre-sale and listing of diesel oil in East China on December 10th. The seller who completed the first delivery is Zhejiang Zhoushan Weide Energy Co., Ltd., and the buyer is Zhoushan Weilan Energy Co., Ltd., with an average delivery price of 5974 yuan/ton, and the corresponding value-added tax price is 6750.62 yuan/ton. In November, the buyers and sellers locked in the purchase (sales) volume and price in the first half of December in the pre-sale listing transaction, and determined Sinochem Nantong Warehouse as the delivery place, and completed the first delivery in two installments on December 9 and 10 respectively.The US CPI data is in line with expectations, and the euro zone bonds are basically flat.
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-14